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Biden or Trump? Betting markets are more cautious than polls in predicting the 2020 US election

  • Written by Matt Wall, Associate Professor, Political and Cultural Studies, Swansea University

The world is gripped by fevered speculation regarding the outcome of the US presidential election. Will there be a second term for Donald Trump, or will Joe Biden best him at the polls? In a recent tweet, betfair.com, a British online gambling company, showed that more money has already been bet on this election on its exchange than on the 2019...